Flamengo’s home record sets the key question against Gremio

What can Gremio do to resist Flamengo’s home advantage? Flamengo’s home record in this Serie A season is 12 wins, three draws and one loss, while Gremio’s away record is one win, five draws and 10 losses. That is the clearest statistical question before Wednesday’s match at the Estádio do Maracanã.

Home strength meets away difficulty

Flamengo have scored 32 goals and conceded 12 in their home games, averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded per home match. They have also kept eight home clean sheets. Gremio have scored 10 goals and conceded 23 away, averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded per away match, with three clean sheets.

The pre-match table places Flamengo first on 73 points from 33 games, with a 40 goal difference. Gremio are 15th on 37 points from 33 games, with a -7 goal difference. Flamengo are 36 points ahead of Gremio, 73 to 37, but the significance of the result for the final table remains to be established by the match itself.

Form and availability

Across the 33 listed league results, Flamengo’s most recent sequence includes three wins, a draw and a loss in their last five. Gremio’s last five are two wins, a draw and two losses. Flamengo will be without Danilo, S. Niguez, G. Plata and A. Valencia, while Lucas Paqueta is questionable. Gremio are missing Carlos Vinicius, Danilo Barbosa, Diego Caito, J. Nardoni, C. Pavon and Weverton; J. Cabral is questionable.

The key kickoff question: can Gremio’s away attack improve against a Flamengo side with eight home clean sheets?